Global Rice Prices Surge to 11-Year High


India’s recent move to boost payments to farmers has contributed to the surge in global rice prices. As the world’s largest rice exporter, accounting for over 40% of global rice exports, India’s policy decisions have a significant impact on food prices.

The new minimum support price and rising domestic costs have led to an increase in Indian rice export prices, triggering a chain reaction among other rice suppliers.

The looming El Nino weather pattern poses a significant threat to rice yields in major producing countries. Rice, a staple food for billions of people, is primarily cultivated in Asia, where the El Nino phenomenon often brings reduced rainfall. The potential disruption in production adds to the upward pressure on global rice prices, which have already reached an 11-year high.

Despite the forecast for near-record output by the top six global rice producers, including Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam, global rice prices continue to rise. The impact of El Nino is expected to affect rice production across multiple countries. Additionally, decreasing inventories in China and India, along with rising demand in recent years, contribute to the tightening supply-demand dynamics, further driving up rice prices.